Rochdale 0-1 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 4 Feb 2025

Rochdale
0-1 HT 0-1
Oldham Athletic
📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Rochdale vs Oldham Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 33% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.6
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
11%
5.45
X/2
10%
5.86
X/X
18%
4.48
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.03
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.2pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rochdale v Oldham Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.57/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.33
+9% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Rochdale vs Oldham Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.59 xG 0.49
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
377 Passes 170
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
26 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
21.10.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 3-4 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
29.01.2022 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
25.09.2021 Rochdale Rochdale 0-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
20.07.2019 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-3 HT 2-2 Rochdale Rochdale HAZ
11.12.2018 Rochdale Rochdale 2-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İNTK

Rochdale 0-1 Oldham Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
0-1
AWAY Oldham Athletic
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
0 Passes 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic squeezed past Rochdale 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Oldham Athletic made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Rochdale had 57% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 43%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rochdale and 1.33 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Oldham Athletic?

Rochdale 0-1 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 39%, draw 29%, Oldham Athletic 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rochdale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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