Oldham Athletic 1-1 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 32% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.24
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
12%
4.89
X/2
7%
6.05
X/X
14%
4.54
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
22%
4.37
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.56/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.68
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rochdale
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.49 xG 0.59
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
170 Passes 377
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 3-4 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
29.01.2022 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
25.09.2021 Rochdale Rochdale 0-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
20.07.2019 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-3 HT 2-2 Rochdale Rochdale HAZ
11.12.2018 Rochdale Rochdale 2-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İNTK
17.04.2018 Rochdale Rochdale 0-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
1-1
AWAY Rochdale
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic and Rochdale shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 48% of the ball to Rochdale's 52%, shots finished 4-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.33 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Rochdale?

Oldham Athletic 1-1 Rochdale in the England - National League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 35%, draw 30%, Rochdale 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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