Maidenhead United 2-2 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 6 Apr 2024

Maidenhead United
2-2 HT 1-0
Barnet
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Maidenhead United vs Barnet Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.71
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
10%
8.92
X/2
14%
4.05
X/X
9%
5.33
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.25
2/X
9%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+9.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidenhead United v Barnet — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 57%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.23/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.42
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Maidenhead United vs Barnet Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Barnet
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Barnet Barnet 3-2 HT 1-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
22.04.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
22.10.2022 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
26.03.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-2 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
04.12.2021 Barnet Barnet 3-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
25.05.2021 Barnet Barnet 2-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL

Maidenhead United 2-2 Barnet — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
2-2
AWAY Barnet
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United and Barnet shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Barnet at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 40% of the ball to Barnet's 60%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Maidenhead United and 2.17 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Barnet?

Maidenhead United 2-2 Barnet in the England - National League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 32%, draw 24%, Barnet 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ BTTS No
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