Hartlepool United 2-0 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 6 Apr 2024

Hartlepool United
2-0 HT 1-0
Aldershot Town
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Hartlepool United vs Aldershot Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.49
No
53%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.86 — our 30% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.3
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
8%
6.86
X/2
17%
5.13
X/X
10%
5.54
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
21%
2.86
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
63%
-15.8pp
53%
BTTS No
37%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartlepool United v Aldershot Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.42/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.76
+9% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Hartlepool United vs Aldershot Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aldershot Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
15.05.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-3 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
03.10.2020 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
08.02.2020 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-0 HT 2-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
12.10.2019 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
13.04.2019 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL

Hartlepool United 2-0 Aldershot Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
2-0
AWAY Aldershot Town
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United beat Aldershot Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aldershot Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 36% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 64%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hartlepool United and 0.83 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Aldershot Town?

Hartlepool United 2-0 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 31%, draw 24%, Aldershot Town 44%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aldershot Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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