Breidablik 1-3 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 4 Feb 2025

Breidablik
1-3
Fram Reykjavik
📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2025

Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.6pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.4pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.2pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Breidablik v Fram Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.42/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.50
+27% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
484 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.68 xG 0.77
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
518 Passes 236
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 1-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
26.05.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-4 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
14.07.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
28.04.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 5-4 HT 3-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
22.08.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-2 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
22.05.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 4-3 HT 2-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL

Breidablik 1-3 Fram Reykjavik — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
1-3
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
67% Ball Possession 33%
3 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik beat Breidablik 3-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Breidablik at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Breidablik had 67% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 33%, shots finished 3-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Breidablik and 1.50 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik?

Breidablik 1-3 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 62%, draw 23%, Fram Reykjavik 15%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Breidablik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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