Stuttgart 1-0 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 4 Feb 2025

Stuttgart
1-0 HT 1-0
Augsburg
📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - DFB Cup – 2024/2025

Stuttgart vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.0
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.7
X/1
16%
4.21
X/2 EV+ ✗
14%
10.4
X/X
11%
6.11
2/1
8%
20.4
2/2
9%
7.89
2/X
6%
16.3
Value flag · X/2 at 10.4 — our 14% vs market 6.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 22%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.88/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.79/1.68
-33% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
402 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
37.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
12.2 Crosses 34.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

Stuttgart vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Augsburg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.17 xG 0.65
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
489 Passes 223
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
12.01.2025 Augsburg Augsburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
10.05.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
20.12.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-0 HT 2-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
21.04.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
29.10.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-1 HT 1-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
19.03.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-2 HT 1-2 Augsburg Augsburg AL1

Stuttgart 1-0 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
1-0
AWAY Augsburg
0.84 xG 0.51
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
508 Passes 303
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart edged past Augsburg 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stuttgart had 60% of the ball to Augsburg's 40%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.84 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stuttgart and 0.67 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Augsburg?

Stuttgart 1-0 Augsburg in the Germany - DFB Cup on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 49%, draw 22%, Augsburg 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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