Argentinos Juniors 1-0 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.7
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.26
Over 2.5
28%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.75
No
69%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
1.6
2-3 Goals
35%
1.92
4-5 Goals
11%
8.85
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.24
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.95
X/1
11%
4.23
X/2
12%
7.13
X/X
20%
2.87
2/1
15%
34.5
2/2
14%
6.96
2/X
4%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
33%
-4.5pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.9pp
72%
Under 2.5
76%
-3.8pp
28%
Over 2.5
24%
+3.8pp
31%
BTTS Yes
32%
-0.9pp
69%
BTTS No
68%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.38/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.19
+35% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 70%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.4 Crosses 19.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Platense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 0.78
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
310 Passes 156
74% Pass Accuracy 59%
20 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2024 Platense Platense 2-1 HT 2-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
27.02.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 3-1 HT 2-0 Platense Platense ARJ
03.10.2023 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
03.06.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
28.08.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-2 HT 0-1 Platense Platense ARJ
03.05.2022 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 0-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
1-0
AWAY Platense
1.38 xG 0.49
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
412 Passes 101
83% Pass Accuracy 51%
24 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors nicked a narrow win over Platense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Argentinos Juniors as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 71% of the ball to Platense's 29%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.38 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 1.00 for Platense.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Platense?

Argentinos Juniors 1-0 Platense in the Argentina - Premier League on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 41%, draw 29%, Platense 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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