Platense 2-1 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.4
No
67%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.86
2-3 Goals
34%
1.9
4-5 Goals
14%
7.56
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.3
X/1
21%
4.57
X/2
9%
6.12
X/X
17%
3.06
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.43
2/X
7%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.8pp
32%
Draw
33%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.9pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+0.9pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-0.9pp
33%
BTTS Yes
38%
-4.6pp
67%
BTTS No
62%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.16/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.29
-29% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
273 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 71%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
23.7 Crosses 20.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.62 xG 1.02
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
164 Passes 343
59% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 3-1 HT 2-0 Platense Platense ARJ
03.10.2023 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
03.06.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
28.08.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-2 HT 0-1 Platense Platense ARJ
03.05.2022 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 0-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
19.09.2021 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Platense
2-1
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.38 xG 1.18
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 13
128 Passes 310
61% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 33
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Platense vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense nicked a narrow win over Argentinos Juniors 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Platense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Platense had 34% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 66%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 1.38 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Argentinos Juniors led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Platense and 0.83 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of Platense vs Argentinos Juniors?

Platense 2-1 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Platense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Platense 41%, draw 32%, Argentinos Juniors 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Platense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Platense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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