Independiente 1-1 Godoy Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.08
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
6.2
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.47
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.15
X/1
10%
3.77
X/2
12%
9.26
X/X
17%
3.5
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
9%
8.66
2/X
8%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.2pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +30%
1.33/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.43
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 69%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
21.1 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Godoy Cruz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.70 xG 1.26
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 Passes 210
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2024 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 0-3 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJK
04.06.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-1 HT 2-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
21.08.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
07.03.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 3-3 HT 1-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
27.09.2021 Independiente Independiente 1-4 HT 0-2 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
10.11.2019 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
1-1
AWAY Godoy Cruz
0.58 xG 0.68
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
331 Passes 229
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Godoy Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente and Godoy Cruz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Independiente had 58% of the ball to Godoy Cruz's 42%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.58 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Independiente and 1.83 for Godoy Cruz.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Godoy Cruz?

Independiente 1-1 Godoy Cruz in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Godoy Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Independiente 41%, draw 33%, Godoy Cruz 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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