Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

Velez Sarsfield
1-1 HT 0-1
Belgrano Cordoba
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Velez Sarsfield vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.77
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
19.3
X/1
21%
3.4
X/2
6%
14.9
X/X
12%
5.11
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
9%
13.5
2/X
5%
20.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-12.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.2pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Velez Sarsfield v Belgrano Cordoba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.47/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.62
+13% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -4%
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
460 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 66%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
20.2 Crosses 14.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Velez Sarsfield vs Belgrano Cordoba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Sarsfield
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.94 xG 0.51
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
316 Passes 210
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.06.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 2-0 HT 2-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
28.10.2018 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
17.02.2018 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 2-2 HT 1-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
09.05.2017 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-2 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
19.03.2016 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 2-3 HT 0-2 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
21.03.2015 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-2 HT 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ

Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez Sarsfield
1-1
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
2.14 xG 0.37
69% Ball Possession 31%
25 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
434 Passes 138
78% Pass Accuracy 53%
38 Box Touches 11
42 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Velez Sarsfield vs Belgrano Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Sarsfield and Belgrano Cordoba shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Velez Sarsfield at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Velez Sarsfield had 69% of the ball to Belgrano Cordoba's 31%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 2.14 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belgrano Cordoba led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Velez Sarsfield and 1.67 for Belgrano Cordoba.

What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Sarsfield vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Velez Sarsfield 53%, draw 26%, Belgrano Cordoba 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Velez Sarsfield), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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