Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒04:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.26
Over 2.5
29%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.6
No
64%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
14%
9.43
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.66
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.0
X/1
11%
5.16
X/2
13%
4.94
X/X
22%
2.87
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.39
2/X
6%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+2.2pp
34%
Draw
34%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.5pp
71%
Under 2.5
76%
-5.0pp
29%
Over 2.5
24%
+5.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+1.6pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
0.95/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.81
-35% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
23.6 Crosses 19.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1-0
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.41 xG 0.70
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
151 Passes 397
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
5 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia squeezed past San Lorenzo 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 34% / 31% — and on the day Independiente Rivadavia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 32% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 68%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.41 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs San Lorenzo?

Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 35%, draw 34%, San Lorenzo 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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