Toulouse 1-0 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 4 Feb 2026

Toulouse
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Amiens SC
📅04/02/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
73%
1.3
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.18
Over
58%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.05
No
53%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.18
2-3
45%
1.87
4-5
27%
2.95
6+
8%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1.54
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
3%
21.65
X/1
22%
3.74
X/2
5%
18.3
X/X
9%
7.58
2/1
3%
22.7
2/2
6%
16.15
2/X
3%
25.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Toulouse The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC The Market 14%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.42 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.75
0.79 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.88
Bad Attack Strength Great
Bad Defense Strength Great
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
451 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5
17 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toulouse
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Amiens SC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.79 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
371 Passes 314
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2022 Toulouse Toulouse 6-0 HT 3-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
02.10.2021 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR2
27.02.2021 Toulouse Toulouse 3-0 HT 2-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
02.11.2020 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR2
01.02.2020 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
31.08.2019 Toulouse Toulouse 2-0 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toulouse
1 - 0
AWAY Amiens SC
2.12 xG 0.29
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
508 Passes 316
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
37 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Toulouse vs Amiens SC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Toulouse nicked a narrow win over Amiens SC 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Toulouse as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Toulouse had 60% of the ball to Amiens SC's 40%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.12 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Toulouse's control.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Toulouse and 0.00 for Amiens SC.

Toulouse vs Amiens SC Result & Final Score

Toulouse 1 - 0 Amiens SC in the France - Cup on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Toulouse vs Amiens SC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 73%, draw 14%, Amiens SC 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toulouse), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Toulouse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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