Toulouse vs Amiens SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Toulouse v Amiens SC — Team-Based Signals
Toulouse vs Amiens SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Toulouse 1-0 Amiens SC — Actual Match Statistics
Toulouse nicked a narrow win over Amiens SC 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Toulouse as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Toulouse had 60% of the ball to Amiens SC's 40%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.12 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Toulouse's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Toulouse and 0.00 for Amiens SC.
Toulouse vs Amiens SC Result & Final Score
Toulouse 1 - 0 Amiens SC in the France - Cup on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Toulouse vs Amiens SC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 73%, draw 14%, Amiens SC 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toulouse), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.