Troyes 2-4 Lens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 4 Feb 2026

Troyes
2 - 4 HT 1 - 1
Lens
📅04/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Cup – 2025/2026

Troyes vs Lens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
51%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.82
Over
50%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.14
2-3
47%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.61
6+
5%
14.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.65
1/2
4%
24.85
1/X
5%
14.75
X/1
9%
7.42
X/2
17%
4.62
X/X
16%
4.82
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.74
2/X
5%
13.85
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Troyes v Lens — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Troyes The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens The Market 52%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.16 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.65
1.63 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Strong
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
12 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2

Troyes vs Lens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lens
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.65 xG 1.90
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
275 Passes 502
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.01.2023 Troyes Troyes 1-1 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
09.09.2022 Lens Lens 1-0 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR1
14.05.2022 Troyes Troyes 1-3 HT 1-2 Lens Lens FR1
05.11.2021 Lens Lens 4-0 HT 3-0 Troyes Troyes FR1
04.02.2020 Lens Lens 1-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
24.08.2019 Troyes Troyes 2-0 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR2

Troyes 2-4 Lens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
2 - 4
AWAY Lens
1.61 xG 2.97
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 8
258 Passes 410
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Troyes vs Lens
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lens beat Troyes 4-2 away from home. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lens as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, Lens saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.61 to 2.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Troyes against 1.67 for Lens.

Troyes vs Lens Result & Final Score

Troyes 2 - 4 Lens in the France - Cup on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Troyes vs Lens Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Troyes 23%, draw 26%, Lens 51%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lens) ✓ BTTS Yes
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