Nice vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nice v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals
Nice vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nice 3-2 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics
Nice squeezed past Montpellier 3-2. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: possession split 65% to 35% in Nice's favour, shots finished 24-13, expected goals 2.09 to 1.44.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Nice against 0.83 for Montpellier.
Nice vs Montpellier Result & Final Score
Nice 3 - 2 Montpellier in the France - Cup on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Nice vs Montpellier Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nice 46%, draw 27%, Montpellier 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.