Nice 2-0 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 23 Feb 2025

Nice
2-0 HT 1-0
Montpellier
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Nice vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.56 — our 25% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.75
X/1
24%
3.85
X/2
7%
15.55
X/X
9%
7.43
2/1
9%
20.45
2/2
5%
12.75
2/X
7%
21.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
69%
-6.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.3pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.8pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.97/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.32
-18% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
495 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
22.1 Crosses 14.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Nice vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Montpellier
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.77 xG 1.69
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
422 Passes 315
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Montpellier Montpellier 2-2 HT 1-2 Nice Nice FR1
08.03.2024 Nice Nice 1-2 HT 1-2 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
07.02.2024 Montpellier Montpellier 1-4 HT 0-3 Nice Nice FRK
10.11.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
22.07.2023 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier HAZ
27.05.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 2-3 HT 2-0 Nice Nice FR1

Nice 2-0 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
2-0
AWAY Montpellier
1.77 xG 0.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
421 Passes 287
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nice vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice beat Montpellier 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Nice had 57% of the ball to Montpellier's 43%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.77 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nice and 1.17 for Montpellier.

What was the final score of Nice vs Montpellier?

Nice 2-0 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 1 on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Nice 63%, draw 21%, Montpellier 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✓ BTTS No
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