Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Le Havre v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals
Le Havre vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Le Havre
FR1
4-0
HT 2-0
Le Havre
FR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Toulouse
FR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Toulouse
FR2
Le Havre 1-4 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics
Toulouse swept aside Le Havre 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Toulouse as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Le Havre had 54% of the ball to Toulouse's 46%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.77 to 2.38.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Le Havre and 1.50 for Toulouse.
What was the final score of Le Havre vs Toulouse?
Le Havre 1-4 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Toulouse?
Before kick-off our model rated an Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 27%, draw 27%, Toulouse 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toulouse) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.