Toulouse 2-0 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 15 Sep 2024

Toulouse
2-0 HT 0-0
Le Havre
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Toulouse vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.84
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 35% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
14%
4.12
X/2
17%
8.06
X/X
15%
4.35
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
10%
6.49
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
50%
-11.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Toulouse v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toulouse EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.49/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.62
-17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +105%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
21.8 Crosses 13.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Toulouse vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toulouse
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Le Havre
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.45 xG 0.82
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
372 Passes 313
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 1-0 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
05.11.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 1-2 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
21.02.2022 Toulouse Toulouse 4-0 HT 2-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
13.09.2021 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 0-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR2
04.05.2021 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR2
19.12.2020 Toulouse Toulouse 4-3 HT 3-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR2

Toulouse 2-0 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toulouse
2-0
AWAY Le Havre
1.32 xG 0.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
427 Passes 352
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Toulouse vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toulouse beat Le Havre 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Toulouse found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Toulouse had 54% of the ball to Le Havre's 46%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.32 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Toulouse and 1.17 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of Toulouse vs Le Havre?

Toulouse 2-0 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toulouse vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 38%, draw 30%, Le Havre 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toulouse), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Toulouse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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