Nantes 1-2 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 15 Sep 2024

Nantes
1-2 HT 1-1
Reims
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.86
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.09
6+ Goals
11%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.46
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.07
X/2 EV+ ✓
20%
5.97
X/X
12%
4.13
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
13%
4.35
2/X
8%
13.25
Value flag · X/2 at 5.97 — our 20% vs market 12.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.41/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.49
+18% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
22.0 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Reims
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 1.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
359 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Reims Reims 0-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
05.11.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-1 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
02.04.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-3 HT 0-2 Reims Reims FR1
06.11.2022 Reims Reims 1-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
13.02.2022 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
26.09.2021 Reims Reims 3-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
1-2
AWAY Reims
1.53 xG 0.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
399 Passes 525
88% Pass Accuracy 90%
26 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reims squeezed past Nantes 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Reims made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nantes had 45% of the ball to Reims's 55%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.53 to 0.51 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nantes.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reims led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nantes and 1.33 for Reims.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Reims?

Nantes 1-2 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nantes 33%, draw 28%, Reims 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reims) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Reims) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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