Lens 0-0 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 15 Sep 2024

Lens
0-0 HT 0-0
Lyon
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.81
6+ Goals
15%
7.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.29
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
14%
4.43
X/2
11%
8.79
X/X
11%
5.77
2/1
7%
20.95
2/2
7%
5.9
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.96/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.67
+22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.0 Crosses 15.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lyon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.19 xG 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
404 Passes 408
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 Lyon Lyon 0-3 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FR1
02.12.2023 Lens Lens 3-2 HT 1-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
12.02.2023 Lyon Lyon 2-1 HT 1-1 Lens Lens FR1
02.10.2022 Lens Lens 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
19.02.2022 Lens Lens 1-1 HT 1-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
30.10.2021 Lyon Lyon 2-1 HT 2-0 Lens Lens FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens
0-0
AWAY Lyon
1.05 xG 0.56
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
404 Passes 321
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Lens vs Lyon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens and Lyon fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lens at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lens had 54% of the ball to Lyon's 46%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.05 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lens and 1.17 for Lyon.

What was the final score of Lens vs Lyon?

Lens 0-0 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens vs Lyon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lens 51%, draw 23%, Lyon 26%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lens) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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