Rennes 3-0 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 15 Sep 2024

Rennes
3-0 HT 2-0
Montpellier
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Rennes vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.56
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.71
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.6
X/1
24%
3.8
X/2
9%
13.85
X/X
10%
7.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.7
2/2
8%
9.69
2/X
5%
17.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.7 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-7.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rennes v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.96/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.88
+16% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
17.3 Crosses 16.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Rennes vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Montpellier
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.67 xG 1.07
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
444 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Rennes Rennes 2-1 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
24.09.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 0-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
23.04.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 1-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
30.10.2022 Rennes Rennes 3-0 HT 2-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
25.02.2022 Montpellier Montpellier 2-4 HT 2-2 Rennes Rennes FR1
20.11.2021 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 2-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1

Rennes 3-0 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
3-0
AWAY Montpellier
1.29 xG 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
403 Passes 387
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
34 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes cruised past Montpellier 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rennes as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Rennes had 51% of the ball to Montpellier's 49%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.29 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rennes and 0.67 for Montpellier.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Montpellier?

Rennes 3-0 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 1 on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Rennes 57%, draw 22%, Montpellier 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Over 2.5
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