Lyon vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lyon v PSG — Team-Based Signals
Lyon vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-4
PSG
FR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Lyon
FR1
0-1
HT 0-1
PSG
FR1
Lyon 2-3 PSG — Actual Match Statistics
PSG nicked a narrow win over Lyon 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lyon had 35% of the ball to PSG's 65%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.78 to 2.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lyon and 2.33 for PSG.
What was the final score of Lyon vs PSG?
Lyon 2-3 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lyon vs PSG?
Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lyon 25%, draw 21%, PSG 54%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.