Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-0 Pars Jam Bushehr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
31%
2.63
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
3.14
No
49%
1.31
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
1.5
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
51%
2.17
4-5 Goals
13%
12.8
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.17 — our 51% vs market 38.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
32%
Draw
35%
-3.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
28%
+23.4pp
49%
BTTS No
72%
-23.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pars Jam Bushehr EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.33/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.54
+7% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Pars Jam Bushehr
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
02.10.2023 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr 0-3 HT 0-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
25.01.2023 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
02.09.2022 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr 2-1 HT 2-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
21.02.2022 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr 1-1 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Pars Jam Bushehr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC and Pars Jam Bushehr played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mes Shahr-e Babak FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC and 0.75 for Pars Jam Bushehr.

What was the final score of Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Pars Jam Bushehr?

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-0 Pars Jam Bushehr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Pars Jam Bushehr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Shahr-e Babak FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 45%, draw 32%, Pars Jam Bushehr 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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