Shahin Bandar Ameri 2-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
53%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
23%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
53%
Away Win
50%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shahin Bandar Ameri EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman EU Bookmakers 55%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.72/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.00
-21% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shahin Bandar Ameri
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.10.2023 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-1 HT 1-0 Shahin Bandar Ameri Shahin Bandar Ameri IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Naft Masjed Soleyman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shahin Bandar Ameri edged past Naft Masjed Soleyman 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Naft Masjed Soleyman at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Shahin Bandar Ameri 2-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naft Masjed Soleyman win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Shahin Bandar Ameri 20%, draw 27%, Naft Masjed Soleyman 53%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Naft Masjed Soleyman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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