Shahrdari Astara 1-0 Khooshe Talaee Saveh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
41%
2.63
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.22
Over 2.5
25%
3.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.81
No
65%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.62
2-3 Goals
34%
2.04
4-5 Goals
17%
10.4
6+ Goals
4%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-5.3pp
41%
Draw
35%
+6.0pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.6pp
75%
Under 2.5
78%
-3.7pp
25%
Over 2.5
22%
+3.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.7pp
65%
BTTS No
68%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shahrdari Astara EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Khooshe Talaee Saveh EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.16/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.48
+4% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shahrdari Astara
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Khooshe Talaee Saveh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.10.2023 Khooshe Talaee Saveh Khooshe Talaee Saveh 2-3 HT 2-1 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
05.04.2023 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara 0-0 HT 0-0 Khooshe Talaee Saveh Khooshe Talaee Saveh IRANAZ
31.10.2022 Khooshe Talaee Saveh Khooshe Talaee Saveh 2-0 HT 0-0 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
26.02.2022 Khooshe Talaee Saveh Khooshe Talaee Saveh 0-1 HT 0-1 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Shahrdari Astara vs Khooshe Talaee Saveh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shahrdari Astara squeezed past Khooshe Talaee Saveh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 41% / 21%) promised a tight game; Shahrdari Astara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shahrdari Astara had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shahrdari Astara and 1.00 for Khooshe Talaee Saveh.

What was the final score of Shahrdari Astara vs Khooshe Talaee Saveh?

Shahrdari Astara 1-0 Khooshe Talaee Saveh in the Iran - Azadegan League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shahrdari Astara vs Khooshe Talaee Saveh?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shahrdari Astara 37%, draw 41%, Khooshe Talaee Saveh 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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