Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.5pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -20%
0.98/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.52
+0% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
16.2 Crosses 13.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.31 xG 1.06
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
348 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 3-4 HT 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
07.05.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
06.04.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
27.09.2020 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
25.08.2019 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
02.03.2019 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
3-0
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.34 xG 0.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
290 Passes 322
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga swept aside Patriotas Boyaca 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 47% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 53%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.34 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 1.17 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 44%, draw 32%, Patriotas Boyaca 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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