Independiente Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Aguilas Doradas — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
3-0
HT 1-0
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
2-1
HT 0-1
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
3-0
HT 1-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
4-0
HT 2-0
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Aguilas Doradas — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin edged past Aguilas Doradas 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Independiente Medellin made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 62% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 38%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.61 to 0.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.00 for Aguilas Doradas.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas?
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 36%, draw 32%, Aguilas Doradas 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.