Dumbarton vs Arbroath Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dumbarton v Arbroath — Team-Based Signals
Dumbarton vs Arbroath Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Dumbarton
İK1
2-0
HT 1-0
Arbroath
İK1
3-1
HT 0-1
Dumbarton
İK1
1-1
HT 0-1
Arbroath
İK1
Arbroath nicked a narrow win over Dumbarton 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arbroath as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dumbarton and 1.33 for Arbroath.
What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Arbroath?
Dumbarton 1-2 Arbroath in the Scotland - 1st Division on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Arbroath?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 24%, draw 27%, Arbroath 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arbroath), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.