Chertsey Town 1-2 Wimborne Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
38%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Wimborne Town EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.23/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.34
+46% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
317 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chertsey Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Wimborne Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.11.2024 Wimborne Town Wimborne Town 1-3 HT 1-0 Chertsey Town Chertsey Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chertsey Town
1-2
AWAY Wimborne Town
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chertsey Town vs Wimborne Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wimborne Town nicked a narrow win over Chertsey Town 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wimborne Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Chertsey Town had 45% of the ball to Wimborne Town's 55%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Wimborne Town?

Chertsey Town 1-2 Wimborne Town in the England - Non League Premier on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Wimborne Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wimborne Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 31%, draw 28%, Wimborne Town 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wimborne Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wimborne Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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