Kettering Town 2-1 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 26%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.40/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.49
+27% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kettering Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Alvechurch
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
25.11.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-1 HT 0-1 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Kettering Town vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town nicked a narrow win over Alvechurch 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kettering Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kettering Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kettering Town and 0.50 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of Kettering Town vs Alvechurch?

Kettering Town 2-1 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kettering Town vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kettering Town 46%, draw 27%, Alvechurch 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kettering Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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