Gainsborough Trinity 0-0 Ilkeston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.37/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.57
-15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Ilkeston Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
09.12.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 HT 0-1 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
15.08.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 4-0 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
0-0
AWAY Ilkeston Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity and Ilkeston Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Gainsborough Trinity at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 51% of the ball to Ilkeston Town's 49%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ilkeston Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 2.33 for Ilkeston Town.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town?

Gainsborough Trinity 0-0 Ilkeston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 41%, draw 24%, Ilkeston Town 34%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
4 Mar 2025
22:45 Swindon Supermarine vs Walton & Hersham Analysis →
22:45 Tiverton Town vs Havant & Waterlooville Analysis →
22:45 Chertsey Town vs Wimborne Town Analysis →
22:45 Hanwell Town vs Dorchester Town Analysis →
22:45 Stamford vs Redditch United Analysis →
22:45 Kettering Town vs Alvechurch Analysis →