Sabah 2-2 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.26/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.32
+6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
14.12.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
05.10.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
02.03.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
15.12.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 2-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
07.10.2023 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah and Araz Nahçıvan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 26% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sabah and 0.80 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Sabah 2-2 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sabah 40%, draw 34%, Araz Nahçıvan 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
4 Mar 2025
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