Turan Tovuz 0-2 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.3pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 43%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.40/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.66
+29% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +74%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
15.12.2024 Zira Zira 0-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
06.10.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
02.03.2024 Zira Zira 1-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
20.12.2023 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERK
16.12.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
06.10.2023 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 1-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira got the better of Turan Tovuz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 38% — and on the day Zira made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Turan Tovuz and 0.83 for Zira.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Zira?

Turan Tovuz 0-2 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 30%, draw 32%, Zira 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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