Turan Tovuz 1-0 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.77/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.68
+57% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +68%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
02.03.2024 Zira Zira 1-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
20.12.2023 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERK
16.12.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
06.10.2023 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 1-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
01.05.2023 Zira Zira 1-3 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
24.02.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 0-2 HT 0-2 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz edged past Zira 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Turan Tovuz made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Turan Tovuz and 1.33 for Zira.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Zira?

Turan Tovuz 1-0 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 38%, draw 27%, Zira 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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