Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Magesi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.19
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.97
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-12.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Magesi EU Bookmakers 20%
-11% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.36/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.44
-21% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
17.3 Crosses 13.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Magesi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.76 xG 0.27
76% Ball Possession 24%
26 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 8
514 Passes 73
86% Pass Accuracy 55%
27 Box Touches 5
29 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
30.10.2024 Magesi Magesi 2-2 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
1-0
AWAY Magesi
1.26 xG 0.12
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
388 Passes 143
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Box Touches 2
14 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kaizer Chiefs vs Magesi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaizer Chiefs nicked a narrow win over Magesi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kaizer Chiefs as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kaizer Chiefs had 67% of the ball to Magesi's 33%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.26 to 0.12.

What was the final score of Kaizer Chiefs vs Magesi?

Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Magesi in the South Afrika - Premier League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaizer Chiefs vs Magesi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaizer Chiefs win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kaizer Chiefs 45%, draw 30%, Magesi 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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