Marumo Gallants 0-1 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.64
Over 2.5
33%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
15%
4.28
6+ Goals
7%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 39% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-1.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.5pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
57%
+10.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
43%
-10.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.6pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 56%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.75/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/1.15
-33% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +132% / -10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
229 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
13.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.6
14.1 Crosses 27.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marumo Gallants
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.00 xG 1.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
367 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-0 HT 1-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFLK
31.10.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
11.01.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
06.08.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
06.03.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-0 HT 1-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
27.10.2021 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marumo Gallants
0-1
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
0.72 xG 1.22
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
264 Passes 275
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
8 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Marumo Gallants vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stellenbosch FC nicked a narrow win over Marumo Gallants 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stellenbosch FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marumo Gallants had 50% of the ball to Stellenbosch FC's 50%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.72 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Marumo Gallants and 0.50 for Stellenbosch FC.

What was the final score of Marumo Gallants vs Stellenbosch FC?

Marumo Gallants 0-1 Stellenbosch FC in the South Afrika - Premier League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marumo Gallants vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stellenbosch FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Marumo Gallants 21%, draw 33%, Stellenbosch FC 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stellenbosch FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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