Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Independiente Medellin v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin found just enough to beat Deportivo Pasto 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Independiente Medellin had 69% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 31%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.02 to 0.35.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente Medellin and 0.83 for Deportivo Pasto.
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto Result & Final Score
Independiente Medellin 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 76%, draw 17%, Deportivo Pasto 8%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.