AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 4 Mar 2026

AZ Alkmaar
2 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Telstar
📅04/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Netherlands - KNVB Cup – 2025/2026

AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
15%
4.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.28
Over
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.08
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.72
2-3
42%
1.9
4-5
30%
2.68
6+
11%
7.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.82
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
4%
15.4
X/1
19%
4.13
X/2
6%
11.8
X/X
11%
6.72
2/1
4%
19.5
2/2
8%
8.89
2/X
4%
17.25
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

AZ Alkmaar v Telstar — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME AZ Alkmaar The Market 67%
Signal
AWAY Telstar The Market 20%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
2.27 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
0.99 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.11
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength Weak
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
38 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10 Crosses –
1 Yellow Cards –

AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Telstar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.52 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 Passes 260
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.01.2026 Telstar Telstar 0-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
05.10.2025 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 2-1 HT 2-0 Telstar Telstar HOL
29.10.2015 Telstar Telstar 0-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOK

AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar
2 - 1
AWAY Telstar
0.82 xG 0.91
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
278 Passes 272
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AZ Alkmaar came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Telstar 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 50% to 50% in AZ Alkmaar's favour, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.82 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 3 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for AZ Alkmaar against 0.33 for Telstar.

AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar Result & Final Score

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 Telstar in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 66%, draw 19%, Telstar 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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