AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Telstar — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOK
AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar nicked a narrow win over Telstar 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 59% of the ball to Telstar's 41%, shots finished 28-14, expected goals 3.96 to 1.06 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AZ Alkmaar's control.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 69%, draw 17%, Telstar 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.