Feyenoord 3-2 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
14%
8.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.75
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.55
X/1
14%
4.01
X/2
7%
13.35
X/X
10%
6.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
20.8
2/2
5%
10.75
2/X
6%
18.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 14% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
65%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.4pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +23%
1.95/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.63
-1% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
412 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.6 Crosses 18.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Utrecht
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.62 xG 0.88
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
510 Passes 265
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2025 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-2 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
27.10.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 0-2 HT 0-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
31.03.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 4-2 HT 1-2 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
20.12.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-1 HT 2-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOK
03.09.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-5 HT 1-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
23.04.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
3-2
AWAY Utrecht
3.42 xG 0.49
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 3
391 Passes 301
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
46 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord squeezed past Utrecht 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Feyenoord had 55% of the ball to Utrecht's 45%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 3.42 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Feyenoord's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Feyenoord and 1.17 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Utrecht?

Feyenoord 3-2 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 63%, draw 22%, Utrecht 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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