Feyenoord 4-2 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 31 Mar 2024

Feyenoord
4-2 HT 1-2
Utrecht
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Feyenoord vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
7.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.74 — our 26% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
21.85
X/1
19%
3.47
X/2
5%
18.85
X/X
12%
7.69
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
6%
14.65
2/X
5%
22.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.2pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Feyenoord v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
2.40/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.27
-2% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
43.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
23.6 Crosses 12.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Feyenoord vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Utrecht
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.92 xG 1.21
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
474 Passes 287
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-1 HT 2-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOK
03.09.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-5 HT 1-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
23.04.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
08.01.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 1-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
24.04.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-1 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
29.08.2021 Utrecht Utrecht 3-1 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL

Feyenoord 4-2 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
4-2
AWAY Utrecht
3.41 xG 0.91
67% Ball Possession 33%
27 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
505 Passes 224
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
53 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord got the better of Utrecht 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Feyenoord had 67% of the ball to Utrecht's 33%, shots finished 27-3, expected goals 3.41 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Feyenoord and 1.33 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Utrecht?

Feyenoord 4-2 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 61%, draw 23%, Utrecht 16%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
31 Mar 2024
13:15 PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Analysis →
15:30 Twente vs Heracles Analysis →
17:45 Almere City vs Volendam Analysis →