Almere City 1-1 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
13%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 24% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.7
X/1
21%
3.55
X/2
6%
14.3
X/X
15%
6.47
2/1
8%
22.3
2/2
8%
11.35
2/X
5%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.0pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.9pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
Crosses 17.1
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Volendam
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.13 xG 1.39
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
273 Passes 388
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2024 Volendam Volendam 0-1 HT 0-1 Almere City Almere City HOL
17.12.2021 Almere City Almere City 2-3 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
01.10.2021 Volendam Volendam 3-2 HT 1-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
03.03.2021 Almere City Almere City 1-2 HT 1-2 Volendam Volendam HOL2
27.11.2020 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 1-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
08.09.2019 Almere City Almere City 1-0 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
1-1
AWAY Volendam
1.32 xG 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
240 Passes 223
66% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Almere City vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almere City and Volendam shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Almere City at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Almere City had 51% of the ball to Volendam's 49%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.32 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Almere City and 1.67 for Volendam.

What was the final score of Almere City vs Volendam?

Almere City 1-1 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Almere City 54%, draw 27%, Volendam 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almere City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almere City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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