Twente 1-0 Heracles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 31 Mar 2024

Twente
1-0 HT 0-0
Heracles
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Twente vs Heracles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.81
2-3 Goals
31%
2.04
4-5 Goals
35%
2.61
6+ Goals
15%
5.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.35
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
27.0
X/1
21%
3.47
X/2
4%
26.5
X/X
9%
9.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.15
2/2
7%
20.15
2/X
4%
26.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
77%
-10.7pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.1pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Twente v Heracles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Heracles EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
2.43/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.42
-6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +0%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
25.3 Crosses 11.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Twente vs Heracles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Heracles
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 0.86
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
411 Passes 257
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Heracles Heracles 2-2 HT 0-2 Twente Twente HOL
30.04.2022 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 1-1 Twente Twente HOL
05.11.2021 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
08.05.2021 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
27.02.2021 Heracles Heracles 2-2 HT 1-1 Twente Twente HOL
20.09.2019 Twente Twente 2-3 HT 1-2 Heracles Heracles HOL

Twente 1-0 Heracles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
1-0
AWAY Heracles
1.22 xG 0.57
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
362 Passes 218
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Twente vs Heracles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente edged past Heracles 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Twente had 61% of the ball to Heracles's 39%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.22 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Twente and 1.50 for Heracles.

What was the final score of Twente vs Heracles?

Twente 1-0 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Heracles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Twente 66%, draw 18%, Heracles 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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