Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.35
No
46%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.33
2-3 Goals
40%
2.12
4-5 Goals
24%
2.46
6+ Goals
12%
4.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.45
1/2
8%
22.25
1/X
6%
12.05
X/1
11%
6.38
X/2
11%
6.28
X/X
13%
6.31
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.25
2/2
19%
3.37
2/X
4%
12.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+14.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-14.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
70%
-16.2pp
46%
BTTS No
30%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.49/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.44
-11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
18.5 Crosses 22.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
3W-2D-1L
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.89 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
350 Passes 348
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-3 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
07.12.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 5-0 HT 4-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
23.05.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-2 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
28.01.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 HT 0-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
17.01.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK
26.11.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
1-1
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
0.77 xG 0.95
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 4
296 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
39 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles and NEC Nijmegen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 54% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 46%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.77 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.33 for NEC Nijmegen.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen?

Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 40%, draw 22%, NEC Nijmegen 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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