NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC Nijmegen v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Go Ahead Eagles
HOL
1-0
HT 1-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
3-3
HT 1-2
Go Ahead Eagles
HOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Go Ahead Eagles
HOL
NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics
Go Ahead Eagles edged past NEC Nijmegen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was NEC Nijmegen at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 47% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 53%, shots finished 14-25, expected goals 1.37 to 2.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Go Ahead Eagles's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.33 for Go Ahead Eagles.
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?
NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 49%, draw 19%, Go Ahead Eagles 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) went the other way.