Go Ahead Eagles 5-0 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 25% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.89
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
10%
5.12
X/2
10%
8.6
X/X
14%
5.55
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
10%
6.04
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
2.04/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.54
+21% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.1 Crosses 15.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
2W-3D-1L
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.56
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
324 Passes 410
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-2 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
28.01.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 HT 0-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
17.01.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK
26.11.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
05.02.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 HT 1-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
23.10.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-3 HT 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
5-0
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
2.04 xG 0.66
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
356 Passes 307
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles swept aside NEC Nijmegen 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Go Ahead Eagles as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 52% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 48%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.04 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.50 for NEC Nijmegen.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen?

Go Ahead Eagles 5-0 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 48%, draw 27%, NEC Nijmegen 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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