Heracles 2-2 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 7 Dec 2024

Heracles
2-2 HT 1-2
Fortuna Sittard
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
3.27
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
9%
5.38
X/2
10%
7.88
X/X
12%
4.83
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
12%
5.66
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heracles v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.57/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.36
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
23.5 Crosses 19.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.00 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
369 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Heracles Heracles 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
10.11.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 4-1 HT 4-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
03.04.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-2 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
20.11.2021 Heracles Heracles 3-1 HT 2-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
05.02.2021 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-1 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
11.12.2020 Heracles Heracles 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL

Heracles 2-2 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
2-2
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.43 xG 0.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
340 Passes 326
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heracles and Fortuna Sittard couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Heracles at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Heracles had 52% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 48%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.43 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heracles had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Heracles and 1.17 for Fortuna Sittard.

What was the final score of Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard?

Heracles 2-2 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heracles win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Heracles 44%, draw 25%, Fortuna Sittard 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Heracles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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