Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
13%
15.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.47
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
16.45
X/1
13%
4.48
X/2
12%
10.6
X/X
8%
5.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
28.0
2/2
14%
8.38
2/X
5%
17.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+11.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.66/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.67
-8% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
25.2 Crosses 15.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
4W-2D-0L
AWAY NAC Breda
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.54 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
284 Passes 370
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 0-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HAZ
20.07.2019 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-0 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HAZ
14.07.2018 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-3 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HAZ
18.04.2018 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
25.08.2017 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-2 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
01.04.2016 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
AWAY NAC Breda
1.53 xG 1.64
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 5
417 Passes 238
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NAC Breda beat Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Rotterdam at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 60% of the ball to NAC Breda's 40%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 1.53 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.00 for NAC Breda.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda?

Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 44%, draw 24%, NAC Breda 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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