Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.5pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.28/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/3.64
-24% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -56%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
3W-2D-1L
AWAY NAC Breda
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
284 Passes 370
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2019 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-0 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HAZ
14.07.2018 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-3 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HAZ
18.04.2018 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
25.08.2017 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-2 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
01.04.2016 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
23.10.2015 NAC Breda NAC Breda 4-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
2-1
AWAY NAC Breda
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam edged past NAC Breda 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sparta Rotterdam as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 67% of the ball to NAC Breda's 33%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.50 for NAC Breda.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda?

Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 NAC Breda in the Friendlies on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 46%, draw 29%, NAC Breda 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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