Millwall 0-1 Southampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2024

Millwall
0-1 HT 0-0
Southampton
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Millwall vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
12%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.96
1/2
11%
25.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
8%
6.88
X/2
14%
4.75
X/X
14%
4.51
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.93
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
29%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Millwall v Southampton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton EU Bookmakers 48%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.97/1.15
+46% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / +15%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
276 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Millwall vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Southampton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.84 xG 1.33
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
145 Passes 653
68% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Southampton Southampton 1-2 HT 1-2 Millwall Millwall İNCL
04.11.2023 Millwall Millwall 0-1 HT 0-0 Southampton Southampton İNCL
26.08.2014 Millwall Millwall 0-2 HT 0-0 Southampton Southampton İNLK
17.03.2012 Millwall Millwall 2-3 HT 2-1 Southampton Southampton İNCL
07.02.2012 Southampton Southampton 2-3 HT 1-1 Millwall Millwall FAK
28.01.2012 Millwall Millwall 1-1 HT 0-1 Southampton Southampton FAK
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Southampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton nicked a narrow win over Millwall 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Southampton as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southampton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Millwall and 1.67 for Southampton.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Southampton?

Millwall 0-1 Southampton in the Friendlies on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Southampton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Millwall 24%, draw 31%, Southampton 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southampton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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