Hoffenheim 0-1 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.26
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
14%
5.44
X/2
12%
5.99
X/X
10%
5.56
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
17%
3.71
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 6% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.00/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.03
+29% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
0-1
AWAY Ipswich Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town squeezed past Hoffenheim 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hoffenheim at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hoffenheim had 50% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 50%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Ipswich Town?

Hoffenheim 0-1 Ipswich Town in the Friendlies on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 41%, draw 24%, Ipswich Town 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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